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5 strategic missteps that gave APC the edge over PDP in Edo Election

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5 strategic missteps that gave APC the edge over PDP in Edo Election, Okpebholo secured 291,667 votes to defeat Asue Ighodalo of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), who came second with 247,274 votes.

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Like previous elections, the events that preceded the Edo poll came with drama and controversies in which the outgoing governor, Godwin Obaseki, the candidates, and political parties were prominently featured.

While the PDP predicates its loss solely on the rigging claim, several other reasons contributed to the APC’s victory. Besides the rigging allegation, Obaseki fought too many battles ahead of the election, and some of his ‘political enemies’ vowed to work against him.

Gov Obaseki’s feud with Shaibu

Philip Shaibu, the Deputy Governor of Edo State was one of the first group of politicians to part ways with their allies in the APC and joined forces with the PDP to ensure Obaseki’s second term in 2020.


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In his support for Obaseki, Shaibu openly insulted Adams Oshiomhole, the former governor of the state whom he often describes as his political father.

Fast forward to 2024, the ties that once held the governor and his deputy together turned out to be the seed of their separation.

As Obaseki’s tenure rounds off, Shaibu prepares to take over from him but his boss has other plans. The ensuing conflict led to the deputy governor’s impeachment but the court reinstated him.

Irked by the humiliation he suffered, Shaibu vowed to work against the PDP, and he did. The deputy governor delivered his local government for the APC, dashing Ighodalo’s hope.

Obaseki’s fight with the Palace

The stool of the Oba of Benin remains one of the revered thrones in the Nigerian traditional institution. The people of Edo State respect the throne and their adoration of their royal fathers cannot be disputed.

Unfortunately, Obaseki, either by omission or commission, clashed with the Benin traditional institution following his ban on Okaigheles (youth leaders) in the kingdom.

The governor said his reason for banning the youth group was part of his effort to tackle cultism in the state but the palace rejected his move, saying Okaigheles represented a segment of the age-long Benin traditional administrative structure.

While the palace sought to protect the tradition, the Edo State Government insisted that Okaigheles “pose the most severe threat to the security and stability of the state.”

That episode triggered a cold war between the palace and the state government.

Alleged betrayal of the legacy PDP members

The saying that politics is a game of numbers cannot be discounted, however, this number is usually not about the voters but about influential party members and stakeholders.

In Nigeria, political structures are built around political figures and strong party members who use their influence to convince and canvass people to vote for the candidates they endorse.

Traditionally, Edo State is a PDP stronghold, and even when the APC took over the control of the state in 2008, it was easy for Obaseki to take it back with the support of the legacy PDP members and Nyesom Wike.

Unfortunately, Obaseki lost the support of the group, led by Dan Orbih, the PDP National Vice Chairman, South-South, who accused the governor of betraying and shortchanging them.

Undaunted by their agitations, Obaseki while speaking at an event described the legacy PDP politicians as a disorganised group, likening them to sheep without a shepherd, and even supervised Orbih’s expulsion from the party.

The narrative against Asue Ighodalo

Whether the PDP likes it or not, the narrative that Asue Ighodalo is not a ‘homeboy’ contributed to his defeat.

The three candidates have negative narratives woven against their personalities to hurt their chances in the election.

While the narrative against Olumide Akpata of the Labour Party is tied to his Yoruba name, the campaign against Okpebholo, who has been in Edo politics for over two decades is about his perceived poor command of the English language.

Unfortunately for Ighodalo, despite the massive publicity popularising his candidacy, the opposition’s portrayal of him as an ‘anointed successor’ who can’t speak the language of the people he seeks to govern injured his political chances.

Obaseki’s ‘nonexistent’ political clout

Being a governor is one thing, having the political clout to pull and sway things in your favour is another. The just concluded election showed Obaseki is an ordinary governor.

Ahead of the poll, he stripped himself of his support structures through the many battles with his deputy and other political stakeholders.

Obaseki enjoyed the support of Oshiomhole and Wike to secure his first and second-term tickets. However, his failure to get his preferred candidate into the Edo State Government House speaks volumes of his lack of clout.


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Politics

Ganduje declares NNPP 'dead' as Kwankwaso plots APC return

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The National Chairman of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Dr. Abdullahi Umar Ganduje, has claimed that the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) is no longer a viable political force and suggested that its presidential candidate in the 2023 elections, Rabiu Kwankwaso, is seeking a return to the APC.

Speaking in Abuja on Tuesday, April 15, during the Tinubu Support Group (TSG) visit to the APC national secretariat, Ganduje dismissed the NNPP’s relevance in Nigeria’s political landscape.

“The NNPP is dead. And it will soon be buried very, very soon. The coffin has already been constructed. What remains now is to dig the grave. And already they are digging the grave very, very soon,” Ganduje said.

Ganduje, who succeeded Kwankwaso as governor of Kano State, suggested the APC is open to accepting his former political ally back into the fold.

“Even like that, the so-called NNPP national leader, he too, he says after losing everyone, he wants to come back to us. We will welcome him because he’s coming back home,” he added.

Kwankwaso quashes defection rumour

However, the NNPP has denied any plans for defection.

At a recent National Executive Council meeting in Abuja, Kwankwaso dismissed such claims, asserting that Ganduje might consider joining the NNPP instead.

NNPP’s National Publicity Secretary in Kano State, Ladipo Johnson, reiterated the party’s stance in a recent interview, stating, “While the party is open to discussions about possible alignments, there is nothing on the table yet.”

The war of words highlights the ongoing tension between the two Kano political giants as both parties jostle for influence ahead of the 2027 general elections.


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Are PDP governors betraying Atiku? Dele Momodu points fingers at Tinubu alliance

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Veteran journalist and politician Dele Momodu has sharply criticised governors of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) for distancing themselves from the newly formed opposition coalition led by former Vice President Atiku Abubakar.

According to Momodu, their refusal to join the alliance could indicate covert support for President Bola Tinubu‘s administration.

Speaking during an interview on Arise TV’s Prime Time on Monday, April 14, Momodu expressed frustration over the PDP Governors’ Forum’s decision, which was announced after a meeting in Ibadan, Oyo State.

The Forum declared it would not join the coalition, which also includes former Kaduna State governor Nasir El-Rufai and former Labour Party presidential candidate Peter Obi.

Momodu warned that unity among opposition leaders is critical to challenging the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) effectively in future elections.

“Atiku cannot do it alone, Peter Obi cannot do it alone, and Kwankwaso cannot do it alone,” Momodu said.

“They have to find a way to pay the APC back in its own coin… by getting a chunk of all the parties, including APC, to come together.”

Dele Momodu blasts PDP governors over coalition snub

He questioned the motives of PDP governors resisting the coalition, suggesting they may be indirectly aiding the Tinubu presidency.

“If our governors are saying, ‘Oh, we don’t go into coalitions,’ it means you are probably working for a Tinubu presidency,” he stated.

Referencing Nigeria’s political history, Momodu emphasised the importance of unity and resilience among opposition forces, recalling how Tinubu’s political base in Lagos survived federal pressure during the Obasanjo era.


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“A bully only respects a bully. But all of us are already behaving like chicken… people panic because of Tinubu, ‘Oh, they are going to use EFCC, they are going to arrest me,’” he said.

Momodu urged political actors to embrace collective action over fear.

“This thing is doable if they agree to work together,” he concluded, warning defectors that abandoning the opposition movement would be akin to jumping “into the bottom of the Atlantic Ocean.”


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Tension in Benue as govt moves to block Obi's visit over Alia's defection rumour

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Plans by Labour Party’s 2023 presidential candidate, Mr. Peter Obi, to visit Internally Displaced Persons (IDP) camps in Benue State have reportedly been stalled by the state government, igniting fresh political tensions.

Obi, known for his post-election humanitarian outreach, was scheduled to continue his nationwide tour of crisis-hit communities with a visit to Benue’s IDP camps.

In recent weeks, the former Anambra State governor has visited displaced persons in Plateau, Southern Kaduna, and Nasarawa, offering relief materials and advocating for urgent government action.

According to sources close to the matter, Obi’s team had contacted the Benue State Emergency Management Agency (BSEMA) to formally notify them of the visit.

BSEMA’s Executive Secretary, Sir James Iorpuu, received the outreach, but it reportedly triggered political pushback from top government officials.

Insiders say Governor Hyacinth Alia was advised against granting Obi access. There are fears that the visit could reignite political rivalries, particularly with former Governor Samuel Ortom, a known supporter of Obi.

“Allowing Obi access at this time could fuel ongoing speculations that Governor Alia is considering leaving the APC,” a senior source revealed.

“The governor is very conscious of his relationship with the Presidency. This isn’t the kind of message he wants to send to the President.”

I can’t guarantee safety of unscheduled visitors – Gov Alia

Amid increasing tension within the APC at both state and national levels, sources claim Alia’s allies warned that hosting a high-profile opposition figure like Obi could be interpreted as political posturing — or worse, as aligning with rivals during a turbulent political period.

Adding to the speculation, the governor reportedly instructed his Chief Press Secretary, Tersoo Kula, to issue a statement discouraging “unapproved high-profile visits” to the state.


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“For anyone considering a visit to Benue State without the Governor’s knowledge, it is imperative to reconsider such plans, as the safety and security of individuals in this regard cannot be guaranteed,” the statement read.

Though Obi was not mentioned by name, government insiders confirmed the statement was directed at him.

Another government official, speaking on condition of anonymity, added, “The camps are a sensitive issue. We cannot allow anyone to politicise the suffering of our displaced people.”

Obi’s supporters, however, argue that the visit was entirely humanitarian.

“This is part of his national outreach. There’s no political agenda,” a source close to Obi stated.

Obi’s influence in Benue remains notable. During the 2023 presidential election, he garnered over 308,000 votes in the state — a surprising result in a region traditionally dominated by the APC and PDP.

Many attribute this to a groundswell of youth and middle-class support and Ortom’s backing.

As of press time, neither Obi nor the Labour Party had issued an official response to the reported pushback.

However, the development has stirred debate on whether humanitarian efforts should be overshadowed by political considerations.


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